Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Pachuca had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Pachuca win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
-0.66) 
0.84) 
