SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Juarez win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Juarez | Draw | Pachuca |
35.82% ( -0.34) | 24.93% ( 0.01) | 39.25% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 57.9% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.57% ( -0.08) | 45.43% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.23% ( -0.07) | 67.77% ( 0.08) |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.19% ( -0.23) | 24.81% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.6% ( -0.32) | 59.39% ( 0.32) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.01% ( 0.14) | 22.99% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.21% ( 0.2) | 56.78% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Juarez | Draw | Pachuca |
| 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 35.82% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.25% |
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