Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 50.32%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Puebla win was 0-1 (6.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Pachuca	Draw	Puebla
50.32% ( 0.49)	23.99% ( 0.06)	25.68% ( -0.55)

Both teams to score 55.72% (

-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.11% (

-0.7)

45.89% (

0.7)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.8% (

-0.67)

68.2% (

0.67)

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.71% (

-0.08)

18.28% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.65% (

-0.13)

49.35% (

0.13)

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.19% (

-0.8)

31.81% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.75% (

-0.93)

68.24% (

0.93)

Score Analysis

Pachuca 50.32%

Puebla 25.68%

Draw 23.98%

Pachuca	Draw	Puebla
1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.45% Total : 50.32%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.98%	0-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.69% Total : 25.68%