SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Toluca win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atlas | Draw | Toluca |
40.64% ( -0.66) | 23.87% ( 0.05) | 35.49% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 61.72% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.54% ( -0.16) | 40.45% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.17% ( -0.17) | 62.83% ( 0.16) |
| Atlas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.84% ( -0.37) | 20.16% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.55% ( -0.59) | 52.44% ( 0.59) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( 0.24) | 22.7% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.64% ( 0.36) | 56.36% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atlas | Draw | Toluca |
| 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.02% Total : 40.64% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.37% Total : 35.49% |
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