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Liga MX | 1st Leg
May 12, 2023 at 2am UK
Jalisco

Atlas
1 - 0
Guadalajara

Quinones (42')
Quinones (14'), Rocha (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gonzalez (37'), Calderon (71')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atlas and CD Guadalajara.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cruz Azul 0-1 Atlas
Sunday, May 7 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 4-1 Mazatlan
Sunday, April 30 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for CD Guadalajara had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest CD Guadalajara win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atlas in this match.

Result
AtlasDrawCD Guadalajara
41.22% (-0.374 -0.37) 27.11% (0.229 0.23) 31.67% (0.143 0.14)
Both teams to score 49.75% (-0.643 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.54% (-0.84200000000001 -0.84)55.46% (0.84 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.35% (-0.696 -0.7)76.65% (0.69300000000001 0.69)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51% (-0.587 -0.59)26.48% (0.582 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.33% (-0.784 -0.78)61.67% (0.781 0.78)
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (-0.333 -0.33)32.32% (0.332 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.18% (-0.376 -0.38)68.82% (0.374 0.37)
Score Analysis
    Atlas 41.21%
    CD Guadalajara 31.67%
    Draw 27.1%
AtlasDrawCD Guadalajara
1-0 @ 11.37% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.78% (-0.101 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.35% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.077 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.11% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 41.21%
1-1 @ 12.84% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 8.56% (0.275 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 9.67% (0.224 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.25% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.078 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 31.67%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cruz Azul 0-1 Atlas
Sunday, May 7 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atletico San Luis 0-0 Atlas
Sunday, April 30 at 2am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-3 Atlas
Saturday, April 22 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 4-1 Pachuca
Sunday, April 16 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Atlas
Monday, April 10 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 3-3 Guadalajara
Sunday, April 2 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 4-1 Mazatlan
Sunday, April 30 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-1 Cruz Azul
Sunday, April 23 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 0-2 Guadalajara
Sunday, April 16 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 1-0 Necaxa
Sunday, April 9 at 12am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 3-3 Guadalajara
Sunday, April 2 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-4 America
Sunday, March 19 at 3.10am in Liga MX


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