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Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Sep 26, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
1 - 2
Atletico San Luis

Gonzalez (45' pen.)
Rigonato Rodrigues (45+3'), Torres (88'), Chavez (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Berterame (24' pen., 39')
Lozano (20'), Waller (90+4'), Waller (90+4')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Atletico San Luis.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 45.14%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 29.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawAtletico San Luis
45.14%25.36%29.51%
Both teams to score 54.21%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.76%49.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.7%71.3%
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19%21.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.98%55.02%
Atletico San Luis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.33%30.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.08%66.92%
Score Analysis
    Toluca 45.13%
    Atletico San Luis 29.51%
    Draw 25.35%
TolucaDrawAtletico San Luis
1-0 @ 10.18%
2-1 @ 9.17%
2-0 @ 7.76%
3-1 @ 4.65%
3-0 @ 3.94%
3-2 @ 2.75%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.5%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 45.13%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.69%
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 7.91%
1-2 @ 7.11%
0-2 @ 4.67%
1-3 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 2.13%
0-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 29.51%

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