SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 37.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.34%) and 0-2 (5.62%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atletico San Luis | Draw | Pachuca |
37.41% ( -0.39) | 24.12% ( -0.09) | 38.46% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 61.01% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.53% ( 0.44) | 41.46% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.13% ( 0.45) | 63.86% ( -0.45) |
| Atletico San Luis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.84% ( -0) | 22.15% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.46% | 55.54% ( -0.01) |
| Pachuca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.37% ( 0.43) | 21.63% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.25% ( 0.67) | 54.74% ( -0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico San Luis | Draw | Pachuca |
| 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.41% | 1-1 @ 11.05% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.12% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.46% |
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