SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Juarez win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Juarez | Draw | Toluca |
29.37% ( 0.21) | 24.47% ( -0.01) | 46.16% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 57.08% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.55% ( 0.15) | 45.45% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.22% ( 0.15) | 67.78% ( -0.15) |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.17% ( 0.22) | 28.83% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.31% ( 0.27) | 64.69% ( -0.28) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.2% ( -0.02) | 19.8% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.14% ( -0.04) | 51.86% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Juarez | Draw | Toluca |
| 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.1% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.37% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 7.49% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 2.99% Total : 46.16% |
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