Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Mar 9, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes
FT(HT: 2-1)
Cruz (45+4')
Villal (64'), Manuel Sanabria (82'),
Gonzalez (90+7')
Villal (73')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Atletico San Luis.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 37.28%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.
| Result |
| Necaxa | Draw | Atletico San Luis |
37.28% ( 0.05) | 26.26% ( -0.02) | 36.46% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.37% ( 0.06) |
| 48.73% ( 0.08) | 51.27% ( -0.07) |
| 26.9% ( 0.07) | 73.1% ( -0.06) |
| 73.29% ( 0.07) | 26.71% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.03% ( 0.09) | 61.97% ( -0.08) |
| 72.82% ( 0.02) | 27.18% ( -0.01) |
