Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juarez would win this match.
