Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico San Luis win with a probability of 37.12%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 36.14% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.