Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 45.44%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.