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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 36.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Necaxa | Draw | Atletico San Luis |
38.72% ( -0.18) | 24.65% ( -0.03) | 36.63% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 59.03% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.98% ( 0.14) | 44.01% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.6% ( 0.14) | 66.4% ( -0.13) |
| Necaxa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.37% ( -0.03) | 22.62% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.75% ( -0.04) | 56.25% ( 0.04) |
| Atletico San Luis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.29% ( 0.17) | 23.71% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.16% ( 0.25) | 57.84% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Necaxa | Draw | Atletico San Luis |
| 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.72% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.64% | 1-2 @ 8.26% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 36.63% |
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