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Liga MX | Gameweek 14
Apr 9, 2023 at 4.10am UK
Estadio Azteca

America
2 - 1
Monterrey

Valdes (36'), Vinas (79')
Rodriguez (35'), Vinas (65'), Caceres (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Meza (19')
Moreno (27'), Ortiz (35')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club America and Monterrey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: America 2-2 Club Leon
Sunday, April 2 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 4-0 Tijuana
Sunday, April 2 at 2.15am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 47.9%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawMonterrey
47.9% (0.338 0.34) 24.8% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 27.3% (-0.332 -0.33)
Both teams to score 54.49% (-0.221 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83% (-0.172 -0.17)48.17% (0.168 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.67% (-0.159 -0.16)70.32% (0.154 0.15)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.84% (0.073000000000008 0.07)20.16% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.56% (0.119 0.12)52.44% (-0.125 -0.13)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.25% (-0.345 -0.34)31.75% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.82% (-0.396 -0.4)68.17% (0.39 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Club America 47.89%
    Monterrey 27.3%
    Draw 24.79%
Club AmericaDrawMonterrey
1-0 @ 10.24% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.21% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.024 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.38% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.76% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 47.89%
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.045 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 7.34% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.75% (-0.063999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.21% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 27.3%

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Form Guide
Last Game: America 2-2 Club Leon
Sunday, April 2 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-4 America
Sunday, March 19 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 0-2 America
Sunday, March 12 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 0-3 Pachuca
Sunday, March 5 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 2-2 America
Sunday, February 26 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: America 2-1 Tijuana
Monday, February 20 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 4-0 Tijuana
Sunday, April 2 at 2.15am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 0-1 Monterrey
Sunday, March 19 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 1-2 Monterrey
Monday, March 13 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 3-0 Juarez
Sunday, March 5 at 1.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 1-1 Monterrey
Tuesday, February 28 at 3.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Monterrey 2-1 Necaxa
Saturday, February 18 at 11.06pm in Liga MX


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