SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 51.23%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monterrey | Draw | River Plate |
51.23% ( 0.21) | 23.15% ( -0.33) | 25.62% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 58.53% ( 1.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.85% ( 1.6) | 42.16% ( -1.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.44% ( 1.58) | 64.56% ( -1.58) |
| Monterrey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.46% ( 0.67) | 16.55% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.69% ( 1.19) | 46.31% ( -1.18) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% ( 0.94) | 29.88% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.03% ( 1.12) | 65.97% ( -1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monterrey | Draw | River Plate |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.44)2-0 @ 8% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.31% Total : 51.23% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.36)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.14% Total : 25.62% |
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