Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 48.75%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Club America had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Club America win it was 0-1 (9.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.
