SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Club America had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Club America win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Monterrey | Draw | Club America |
39.31% ( -0.43) | 25.24% ( 0.15) | 35.45% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 56.76% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.12% ( -0.65) | 46.89% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.86% ( -0.61) | 69.14% ( 0.61) |
| Monterrey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.4% ( -0.51) | 23.6% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.32% ( -0.73) | 57.68% ( 0.74) |
| Club America Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.3% ( -0.14) | 25.7% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.38% ( -0.2) | 60.62% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monterrey | Draw | Club America |
| 1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.31% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0)Other @ 3.44% Total : 35.45% |
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