SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 18.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos Laguna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santos Laguna | Draw | Necaxa |
| 56.51% | 24.82% | 18.66% |
| Both teams to score 44.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.58% | 56.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.57% | 77.43% |
| Santos Laguna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.08% | 19.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.94% | 52.05% |
| Necaxa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.4% | 44.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.39% | 80.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Santos Laguna | Draw | Necaxa |
| 1-0 @ 14.33% 2-0 @ 11.56% 2-1 @ 9.34% 3-0 @ 6.22% 3-1 @ 5.02% 4-0 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 2.03% Other @ 3.48% Total : 56.51% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 8.88% 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.59% Total : 24.81% | 0-1 @ 7.17% 1-2 @ 4.67% 0-2 @ 2.9% 1-3 @ 1.26% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.65% Total : 18.66% |
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