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Liga MX | Gameweek 10
Mar 16, 2021 at 3am UK
Estadio Leon

Club Leon
3 - 1
Necaxa

Campbell (16'), Colombatto (26'), Mena (66')
Colombatto (45'), Barreiro (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Salas (87')
Zendejas (56'), Dominguez (58'), Aguilar (70')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Club Leon and Necaxa.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 58.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 18.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.

Result
Club LeonDrawNecaxa
58.3%23.49%18.21%
Both teams to score 47.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.9%52.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.18%73.82%
Club Leon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.39%17.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.8%48.21%
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.41%42.59%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.06%78.94%
Score Analysis
    Club Leon 58.29%
    Necaxa 18.21%
    Draw 23.49%
Club LeonDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 13.02%
2-0 @ 11.31%
2-1 @ 9.65%
3-0 @ 6.55%
3-1 @ 5.59%
4-0 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 2.43%
3-2 @ 2.39%
4-2 @ 1.04%
5-0 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 58.29%
1-1 @ 11.12%
0-0 @ 7.5%
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 23.49%
0-1 @ 6.4%
1-2 @ 4.75%
0-2 @ 2.73%
1-3 @ 1.35%
2-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 18.21%

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