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Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Mar 20, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Victoria

Necaxa
1 - 0
Juarez

Gonzalez (90+3')
Pereira (53'), Salas (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Marin (36'), Pavez (67'), Velazquez (75'), Rubio (84')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Juarez.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest Juarez win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Necaxa in this match.

Result
NecaxaDrawJuarez
43.86%27.83%28.3%
Both teams to score 46.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.7%59.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.3%79.7%
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.14%26.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.83%62.17%
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.11%36.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.33%73.67%
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 43.86%
    Juarez 28.3%
    Draw 27.83%
NecaxaDrawJuarez
1-0 @ 13.02%
2-0 @ 8.56%
2-1 @ 8.54%
3-0 @ 3.75%
3-1 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 1.87%
4-0 @ 1.23%
4-1 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 43.86%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.91%
2-2 @ 4.26%
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.83%
0-1 @ 9.88%
1-2 @ 6.48%
0-2 @ 4.93%
1-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.64%
2-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 28.3%

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