Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest Juarez win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Necaxa in this match.
