Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 48.8%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 24.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (8.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.