Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 50.68%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 22.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.