Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 49.63%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CD Guadalajara would win this match.