Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 50.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Mazatlan had a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Mazatlan win it was 1-0 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.