Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Tijuana win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Tijuana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Tijuana would win this match.
