Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 1-0 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cruz Azul in this match.
