Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 0-1 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
