Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Cruz Azul	Draw	Monterrey
43.57% ( 0.35)	25.31% ( 0.06)	31.11% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 55.2% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.66% (

-0.43)

48.34% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.52% (

-0.39)

70.48% (

0.39)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.85% (

-0.02)

22.15% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.47% (

-0.03)

55.53% (

0.03)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.9% (

-0.48)

29.1% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.98% (

-0.6)

65.02% (

0.6)

Score Analysis

Cruz Azul 43.57%

Monterrey 31.11%

Draw 25.31%

Cruz Azul	Draw	Monterrey
1-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.57%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.11%