Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Apr 28, 2024 at 2am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Cruz Azul.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 26.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Cruz Azul win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result |
| Toluca | Draw | Cruz Azul |
49.64% ( -0.73) | 23.37% ( 0.23) | 26.98% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 59.03% ( -0.34) |
| 57.93% ( -0.65) | 42.07% ( 0.65) |
| 35.53% ( -0.65) | 64.47% ( 0.66) |
| 82.91% ( -0.51) | 17.1% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.71% ( -0.91) | 47.29% ( 0.91) |
| 71.2% ( 0.03) | 28.8% ( -0.03) |
