Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 18.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.74%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.