SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (11.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Juarez | Draw | Toluca |
| 38.57% | 29.38% | 32.05% |
| Both teams to score 43.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.64% | 63.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.27% | 82.73% |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.15% | 31.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.71% | 68.29% |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.77% | 36.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.99% | 73.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Juarez | Draw | Toluca |
| 1-0 @ 13.2% 2-1 @ 7.67% 2-0 @ 7.55% 3-1 @ 2.92% 3-0 @ 2.88% 3-2 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.86% Total : 38.57% | 1-1 @ 13.4% 0-0 @ 11.53% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.36% | 0-1 @ 11.71% 1-2 @ 6.81% 0-2 @ 5.95% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 1.95% Total : 32.04% |
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