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Liga MX | Gameweek 1
Jul 24, 2021 at 3am UK
Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez

Juarez
1 - 3
Toluca

Galvan (35')
Armoa (27')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ortega (6'), Sambueza (63' pen.), Canelo (89')
Alejandro Rodriguez Hernandez (83')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and Toluca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Toluca win was 0-1 (11.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
JuarezDrawToluca
38.57%29.38%32.05%
Both teams to score 43.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.64%63.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.27%82.73%
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.15%31.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.71%68.29%
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.77%36.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99%73.01%
Score Analysis
    Juarez 38.57%
    Toluca 32.04%
    Draw 29.36%
JuarezDrawToluca
1-0 @ 13.2%
2-1 @ 7.67%
2-0 @ 7.55%
3-1 @ 2.92%
3-0 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 38.57%
1-1 @ 13.4%
0-0 @ 11.53%
2-2 @ 3.89%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.36%
0-1 @ 11.71%
1-2 @ 6.81%
0-2 @ 5.95%
1-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 2.01%
2-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 32.04%

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