Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 47.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 25.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Queretaro in this match.