SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Juarez | Draw | Atletico San Luis |
39.09% ( 1.19) | 25.17% ( 0.26) | 35.74% ( -1.45) |
| Both teams to score 57.07% ( -1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.49% ( -1.3) | 46.51% ( 1.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.22% ( -1.23) | 68.79% ( 1.24) |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.45% ( 0.04) | 23.55% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.4% ( 0.05) | 57.6% ( -0.05) |
| Atletico San Luis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.65% ( -1.4) | 25.36% ( 1.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.85% ( -1.96) | 60.15% ( 1.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Juarez | Draw | Atletico San Luis |
| 1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.35)3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.09% | 1-1 @ 11.84% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.74% |
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