SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 38.87%. A win for Santos Laguna had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Santos Laguna win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juarez would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santos Laguna | Draw | Juarez |
36.32% ( 1.48) | 24.8% ( 0.46) | 38.87% ( -1.94) |
| Both teams to score 58.43% ( -1.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.22% ( -1.97) | 44.77% ( 1.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.87% ( -1.93) | 67.13% ( 1.93) |
| Santos Laguna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.77% ( -0.09) | 24.23% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.43% ( -0.13) | 58.57% ( 0.13) |
| Juarez Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.11% ( -1.81) | 22.89% ( 1.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.36% ( -2.74) | 56.63% ( 2.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Santos Laguna | Draw | Juarez |
| 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.63)2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.43)3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.97% Total : 36.32% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.46)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.8% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.24)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.22)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.16)0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.24% Total : 38.87% |
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