Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Leon win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Leon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Leon would win this match.