Puebla
4 - 1
Toluca

Ormeno (31'), Alvarez (40'), Gonzalez (81'), Escoto (90')
Alvarez (40')

FT(HT: 2-1)

da Silva (20')
Sambueza (35'), da Silva (59')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Puebla and Toluca.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Puebla had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Puebla win was 1-0 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Puebla	Draw	Toluca
30.16%	28%	41.84%

Both teams to score 46.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.8%

59.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.37%

79.62%

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.61%

35.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.85%

72.15%

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.1%

27.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.48%

63.52%

Score Analysis

Puebla 30.15%

Toluca 41.84%

Draw 28%

Puebla	Draw	Toluca
1-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 6.8% 2-0 @ 5.33% 3-1 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 1.85% 3-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.07% Total : 30.15%	1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.87% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28%	0-1 @ 12.6% 1-2 @ 8.36% 0-2 @ 8.04% 1-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 3.42% 2-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 1.14% 0-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.78% Total : 41.84%