Defeating a quality side like Club America is a big achievement for a relatively new Liga MX club like Juarez, but we expect them to have a let-down against an experienced team in Tigres, who rarely have consecutive poor performances in this competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Juarez	Draw	Tigres
32.44% ( 0.13)	28.19% ( 0.4)	39.37% ( -0.53)

Both teams to score 46.81% (

-1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.72% (

-1.44)

59.28% (

1.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.31% (

-1.12)

79.69% (

1.12)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.23% (

-0.66)

33.77% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.57% (

-0.72)

70.43% (

0.72)

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.67% (

-1)

29.33% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.69% (

-1.25)

65.3% (

1.24)

Score Analysis

Juarez 32.43%

Tigres 39.37%

Draw 28.18%

Juarez	Draw	Tigres
1-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.4% Total : 32.43%	1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.18%	0-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.59% Total : 39.37%