Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 18.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a Juarez win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Toluca	Draw	Juarez
61.33% ( 0.48)	20.54% ( -0.05)	18.12% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 56.58% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.34% (

-0.48)

39.66% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.99% (

-0.5)

62.01% (

0.5)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.53% (

-0.01)

12.47% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.56% (

-0.03)

38.44% (

0.03)

Juarez Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.64% (

-0.75)

35.36% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.88% (

-0.79)

72.12% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Toluca 61.33%

Juarez 18.12%

Draw 20.54%

Toluca	Draw	Juarez
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 6.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.49% 5-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.73% Total : 61.33%	1-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.54%	1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.68% Total : 18.12%