Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Atlas had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Atlas win was 0-1 (10.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.