SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Atletico San Luis win was 0-1 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Necaxa | Draw | Atletico San Luis |
41.76% ( 0.66) | 27.4% ( -0.17) | 30.83% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 48.58% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.2% ( 0.48) | 56.8% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.26% ( 0.38) | 77.74% ( -0.38) |
| Necaxa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% ( 0.58) | 26.81% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.89% ( 0.76) | 62.1% ( -0.77) |
| Atletico San Luis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% ( -0.11) | 33.61% ( 0.11) |
