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Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Oct 2, 2022 at 1.05am UK
Jalisco

Atlas
1 - 0
Necaxa

Aguirre (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Garcia (40'), Garnica (54')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atlas and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salt Lake 1-2 Atlas
Friday, September 23 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Necaxa 2-2 Mazatlan
Saturday, September 24 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atlas in this match.

Result
AtlasDrawNecaxa
46.66% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 25.73%27.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.81% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)51.8% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.44% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)73.56% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (0.0019999999999953 0)22.19% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)55.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)33.41% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.96% (0.009999999999998 0.01)70.04% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atlas 46.65%
    Necaxa 27.62%
    Draw 25.72%
AtlasDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-1 @ 9.21%
2-0 @ 8.4% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 4.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.59% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 46.65%
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 6.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.45%
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 27.62%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Salt Lake 1-2 Atlas
Friday, September 23 at 1am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Monterrey 2-0 Atlas
Sunday, September 18 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 1-3 Atletico San Luis
Monday, September 12 at 12.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 1-0 Atlas
Thursday, September 8 at 3am in Liga MX
Last Game: Atlas 0-0 Pumas
Sunday, September 4 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Club Leon 4-2 Atlas
Monday, August 29 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 2-2 Mazatlan
Saturday, September 24 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tijuana 1-1 Necaxa
Monday, September 19 at 3.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-2 America
Sunday, September 11 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 3-1 Necaxa
Wednesday, September 7 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 3-2 Club Leon
Saturday, September 3 at 1am in Liga MX
Last Game: Tigres 0-0 Necaxa
Sunday, August 28 at 1.05am in Liga MX


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