Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 47.16%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Atletico San Luis had a probability of 26.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for an Atletico San Luis win it was 0-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.
