Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 61.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 16.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.
0.08) 
-0.02) 
