Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Club Leon had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Club Leon win was 0-1 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.
-0.1) 
0.29) 
