Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Club Tijuana win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Necaxa would win this match.
