SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queretaro | Draw | Necaxa |
| 33.04% | 28.24% | 38.72% |
| Both teams to score 46.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.64% | 59.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.26% | 79.75% |
| Queretaro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.62% | 33.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.99% | 70.01% |
| Necaxa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.25% | 29.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.18% | 65.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queretaro | Draw | Necaxa |
| 1-0 @ 10.89% 2-1 @ 7.25% 2-0 @ 5.98% 3-1 @ 2.65% 3-0 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.48% Total : 33.03% | 1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 9.93% 2-2 @ 4.39% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.24% | 0-1 @ 12.04% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 7.3% 1-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 2.95% 2-3 @ 1.78% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.43% Total : 38.72% |
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