Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
