Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 47.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 25.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Necaxa in this match.