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Liga MX | Gameweek 6
Aug 23, 2020 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez

Toluca
1 - 0
Guadalajara

Gonzalez (60')
Sambueza (61'), da Silva (69'), Mora (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Molina (89'), Maduena (90')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and CD Guadalajara.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Toluca had a probability of 34.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Toluca win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
TolucaDrawCD Guadalajara
34.17%24.94%40.89%
Both teams to score 57.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.26%45.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.94%68.06%
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1%25.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.1%60.9%
CD Guadalajara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.69%22.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.22%55.78%
Score Analysis
    Toluca 34.17%
    CD Guadalajara 40.89%
    Draw 24.94%
TolucaDrawCD Guadalajara
2-1 @ 7.91%
1-0 @ 7.81%
2-0 @ 5.27%
3-1 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 2.37%
4-1 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 34.17%
1-1 @ 11.71%
2-2 @ 5.93%
0-0 @ 5.78%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.94%
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-1 @ 8.67%
0-2 @ 6.5%
1-3 @ 4.39%
0-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 2.97%
1-4 @ 1.65%
0-4 @ 1.22%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 40.89%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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