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Thursday, March 28
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Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Feb 6, 2021 at 3.30am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
0 - 2
Cruz Azul


Gonzalez (78')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Romo (3'), Escobar (26')
Aguilar (85')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Cruz Azul.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruz Azul win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruz Azul win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruz Azul would win this match.

Result
NecaxaDrawCruz Azul
30.16%26.99%42.85%
Both teams to score 49.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.5%55.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.32%76.68%
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.57%33.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.94%70.06%
Cruz Azul Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.36%25.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.46%60.54%
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 30.16%
    Cruz Azul 42.85%
    Draw 26.99%
NecaxaDrawCruz Azul
1-0 @ 9.39%
2-1 @ 7%
2-0 @ 5.15%
3-1 @ 2.56%
3-0 @ 1.88%
3-2 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 30.16%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.57%
2-2 @ 4.77%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 11.66%
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-2 @ 7.94%
1-3 @ 3.95%
0-3 @ 3.6%
2-3 @ 2.16%
1-4 @ 1.34%
0-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 42.85%

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