Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CD Guadalajara win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 27.27% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a CD Guadalajara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
